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Colinas vs SD Sparta

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Colinas
35%
Draws
56%
SD Sparta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Colinas haven't matched SD Sparta's recent run of results.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SD Sparta have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colinas SD Sparta
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 3.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Tocantinense 2
SD Sparta vs Colinas
6:0
Apr 8, 2017 Tocantinense
Colinas vs SD Sparta
0:5
Mar 18, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Colinas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colinas 10 / 100
SD Sparta 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colinas SD Sparta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

SD Sparta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Colinas scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Colinas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colinas VS SD Sparta
0.2 Goals Scored 1.25
5.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 38%
80% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colinas

(Home)
02 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
8 : 0
Colinas
26 Oct
Colinas
0 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguacema
7 : 1
Colinas
12 Oct
SD Sparta
6 : 0
Colinas
15 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Colinas
Page 1 of 6

SD Sparta

(Away)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
2 Gurupi 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Paraiso EC 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 Capital FC 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Sparta 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Tocantinopolis 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Tocantins 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Colinas 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)