Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017

SD Sparta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colinas play SD Sparta in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2017. SD Sparta are favorites here. Recently, Colinas averaged 1 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Colinas won 0, SD Sparta won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.66 for Colinas and 3.23 for SD Sparta. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Colinas

16%

Draws

67%

SD Sparta

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Colinas picked up more points recently compared to SD Sparta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.66 vs 3.23 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Colinas Clean Sheet 10%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colinas	SD Sparta
Matches Played	24	33
Wins	2	14
Draws	7	7
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1	1.36
Goals Conceded	3.13	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.20	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.20	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Tocantinense 2

SD Sparta vs Colinas

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

6:0

Apr 8, 2017 Tocantinense

Colinas vs SD Sparta

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

0:5

Mar 18, 2017 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Colinas

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colinas 17 / 100

SD Sparta 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colinas SD Sparta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (2)

Secondary Pick SD Sparta & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colinas attacking → ← attacking SD Sparta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colinas scored in 63% of their last 24 games.

SD Sparta let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Colinas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SD Sparta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 49

0.20 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

5.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	6	3	2	1	7:3	11
2	Gurupi	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Paraiso EC	6	2	3	1	5:4	9
4	Capital FC	6	0	2	4	7:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SD Sparta	6	4	2	0	13:4	14
2	Tocantinopolis	6	3	2	1	10:7	11
3	Tocantins	6	2	1	3	7:8	7
4	Colinas	6	0	1	5	4:15	1