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Collado Villalba vs Carabanchel

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Corral A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Collado Villalba and Carabanchel finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Collado Villalba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Collado Villalba
44%
Draws
20%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Collado Villalba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 26%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collado Villalba Carabanchel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Carabanchel
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Collado Villalba
1:0
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Collado Villalba
0:1
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Carabanchel
0:0
Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs Collado Villalba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collado Villalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Carabanchel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collado Villalba 38 / 100
Carabanchel 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collado Villalba Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collado Villalba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Carabanchel conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Collado Villalba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carabanchel
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Collado Villalba

(Home)
11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1
Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2
Parla
Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RSD Alcala34236568:3275
2Rayo Vallecano B34187971:5261
3AD Torrejon341771055:4858
4Villaverde San Andres341412852:3754
5Galapagar341412845:4154
6CD Las Rozas341591045:4254
7Collado Villalba3414101044:3652
8Leganes B341312958:3851
9Alcorcon B341381355:5047
10Trival Valderas3412101247:4746
11Tres Cantos341291343:4445
12Mexico341191435:4942
13Carabanchel3410121230:2942
14Parla341081638:5838
15Cala Pozuelo341081642:5138
16Aravaca CF34981742:5235
17Canillas34582136:6823
18El Alamo34572229:6122
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)