Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2012/2013

Villaviciosa de Odon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Collado Villalba play Villaviciosa de Odon in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Collado Villalba averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Villaviciosa de Odon averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Collado Villalba won 3, Villaviciosa de Odon won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 10, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Collado Villalba and 0.88 for Villaviciosa de Odon. This points to a Collado Villalba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Collado Villalba

23%

Draws

23%

Villaviciosa de Odon

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Collado Villalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Collado Villalba picked up more points recently compared to Villaviciosa de Odon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 25%

Villaviciosa de Odon Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Collado Villalba	Villaviciosa de Odon
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	8	5
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	1.37	1.23
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Collado Villalba vs Villaviciosa de Odon

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaviciosa de Odon vs Collado Villalba

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Apr 23, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaviciosa de Odon vs Collado Villalba

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Dec 2, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Collado Villalba vs Villaviciosa de Odon

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collado Villalba 54 / 100

Villaviciosa de Odon 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Collado Villalba Villaviciosa de Odon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collado Villalba Win (1)

Secondary Pick Collado Villalba & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Collado Villalba attacking → ← attacking Villaviciosa de Odon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collado Villalba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Villaviciosa de Odon let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Collado Villalba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Villaviciosa de Odon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 26

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Puerta Bonita	38	19	13	6	69:41	70
2	Collado Villalba	38	22	3	13	52:37	69
3	Trival Valderas	38	20	8	10	70:46	68
4	Union Adarve	38	18	12	8	51:33	66
5	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	18	10	10	52:33	64
6	Carabanchel	38	17	12	9	59:38	63
7	Parla	38	17	11	10	51:39	62
8	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	11	11	62:45	59
9	AD Colmenar	38	17	8	13	67:50	59
10	Real Aranjuez	38	14	9	15	48:58	51
11	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	13	10	15	43:54	49
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	13	9	16	43:49	48
13	Atl. Madrid C	38	13	8	17	45:59	47
14	Mexico	38	11	14	13	45:46	47
15	Atletico Pinto	38	11	12	15	42:42	45
16	Alcorcon B	38	10	12	16	31:50	42
17	Villaviciosa de Odon	38	10	11	17	30:45	41
18	Colonia Moscardo	38	10	8	20	32:53	38
19	Grinon	38	7	11	20	34:72	32
20	Santa Ana	38	3	10	25	30:66	19