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Colligiana vs Sporting Trestina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colligiana in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colligiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Colligiana
20%
Draws
64%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Trestina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Trestina have won more games recently than Colligiana.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Trestina's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colligiana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colligiana Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Sporting Trestina
2:0
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Sporting Trestina vs Colligiana
0:1
Feb 22, 2015 Serie D - Group E
Colligiana vs Sporting Trestina
0:0
Oct 12, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Colligiana
2:3
May 4, 2014 Serie D - Group E
Colligiana vs Sporting Trestina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colligiana 16 / 100
Sporting Trestina 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colligiana Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Trestina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Trestina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Sporting Trestina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Colligiana scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Trestina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colligiana

(Home)
27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0
Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0
Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2
Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1
Colligiana
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Sporting Trestina

(Away)
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)