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Collina d'Oro vs Lugano II

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
40' Event
54' Event

AI Match Summary

Collina d'Oro in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collina d'Oro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Collina d'Oro
33%
Draws
27%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Collina d'Oro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Collina d'Oro lately — more wins on the board than Lugano II.
  • Collina d'Oro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Collina d'Oro Clean Sheet 18%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collina d'Oro Lugano II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Collina d'Oro vs Lugano II
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Collina d'Oro vs Lugano II
3:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Lugano II vs Collina d'Oro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collina d'Oro 40 / 100
Lugano II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collina d'Oro Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Collina d'Oro's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Collina d'Oro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Collina d'Oro VS Lugano II
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Collina d'Oro

(Home)
30 May
Baden
2 : 2
Collina d'Oro
23 May
Collina d'Oro
2 : 1
Kosova
17 May
Winterthur II
1 : 1
Collina d'Oro
09 May
Collina d'Oro
0 : 2
St. Gallen II
02 May
Taverne
1 : 0
Collina d'Oro
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Lugano II

(Away)
18 Jul
Lugano II
0 : 1
Young Fellows Juventus
30 May
FC Kreuzlingen
1 : 1
Lugano II
23 May
Lugano II
2 : 2
Lausanne II
16 May
Schaffhausen
4 : 2
Lugano II
09 May
Lugano II
0 : 3
Grand-Saconnex
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