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Colmar vs St. Maur Lusitanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Ihou K.
40' Event
Dexet F.
77' Event
Winstersheim K.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group A game between Colmar and St. Maur Lusitanos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Colmar
35%
Draws
53%
St. Maur Lusitanos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St. Maur Lusitanos a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Colmar Clean Sheet 17%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colmar St. Maur Lusitanos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Colmar vs St. Maur Lusitanos
1:1
Jan 21, 2023 National 1 - Group B
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Colmar
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Colmar vs St. Maur Lusitanos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Winstersheim K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Dexet F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colmar 10 / 100
St. Maur Lusitanos 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colmar St. Maur Lusitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Colmar scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Colmar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colmar VS St. Maur Lusitanos
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colmar

(Home)
31 Oct
Colmar
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
17 Oct
Borgo
3 : 0
Colmar
03 Oct
Colmar
0 : 1
Racing Club de France
19 Sept
Chambly
4 : 0
Colmar
12 Sept
Colmar
2 : 2
USLPV
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St. Maur Lusitanos

(Away)
31 Oct
Colmar
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
17 Oct
Haguenau
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1
Borgo
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chambly 9 7 0 2 17:9 21
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 9 5 4 0 15:8 19
3 Furiani Agliani 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
4 Creteil 9 5 2 2 16:6 17
5 Racing Club de France 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
6 Feignies-Aulnoye 9 4 4 1 8:6 16
7 Biesheim 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
8 Borgo 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
9 USLPV 9 2 3 4 15:15 9
10 Epinal 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
11 Colmar 9 2 3 4 7:13 9
12 Dieppe 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 Haguenau 9 2 1 6 7:19 7
14 Montlouis 9 1 3 5 8:18 6
15 Saint-Pryve 8 0 5 3 9:12 5
16 Chantilly 8 0 2 6 6:22 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)