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Colo Colo vs Grapiuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2021 game between Colo Colo and Grapiuna finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colo Colo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Colo Colo
20%
Draws
70%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grapiuna come out ahead of Colo Colo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Colo Colo Clean Sheet 19%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colo Colo Grapiuna
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Colo Colo
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Baiano 2
Colo Colo vs Grapiuna
1:0
Jun 26, 2024 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Colo Colo
1:1
Jun 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Colo Colo vs Grapiuna
0:2
Jul 18, 2021 Baiano 2
Colo Colo vs Grapiuna
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colo Colo 36 / 100
Grapiuna 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colo Colo Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grapiuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grapiuna has conceded goals in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Colo Colo scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Colo Colo has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colo Colo VS Grapiuna
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colo Colo

(Home)
15 Feb
Juazeirense
4 : 1
Colo Colo
09 Feb
Bahia
6 : 0
Colo Colo
04 Feb
Colo Colo
2 : 2
Barcelona FC
31 Jan
Jacuipense
1 : 0
Colo Colo
25 Jan
Colo Colo
1 : 4
Vitoria
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Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
2 Grapiuna 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Botafogo BA 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
4 Barcelona FC 5 3 0 2 10:10 9
5 Camacariense 5 1 1 3 9:11 4
6 Camacari 5 0 0 5 4:21 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2021 (Play Offs)