Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colo Colo vs Recoleta

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Maureira G.
20' Event
Provoste B.
(Penalty)
22'
Flores F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Colo Colo
35%
Draws
27%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colo Colo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Colo Colo have won more games recently than Recoleta.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Colo Colo taking it.
  • Colo Colo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Colo Colo Clean Sheet 68%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colo Colo Recoleta
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Copa Chile
Colo Colo vs Recoleta
2:2
Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile
Recoleta vs Colo Colo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colo Colo Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vidal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colo Colo 95 / 100
Recoleta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colo Colo Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colo Colo's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Colo Colo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Recoleta has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colo Colo VS Recoleta
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colo Colo

(Home)
13 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 1
D. Concepcion
06 Sept
Huachipato
0 : 0
Colo Colo
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1
A. Italiano
27 Aug
Colo Colo
3 : 0
U. Espanola
23 Aug
U. De Chile
1 : 2
Colo Colo
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Recoleta

(Away)
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)