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Colo Colo W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Libertadores Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Indep. Santa Fe W have shipped 1.15 goals a game lately, while Colo Colo W have conceded 0.24 and scored 4. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.31 - 0.81) back Colo Colo W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Colo Colo W
15%
Draws
31%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colo Colo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Colo Colo W have won more games recently than Indep. Santa Fe W.
  • Win probability leans Colo Colo W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Colo Colo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Colo Colo W Clean Sheet 20%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colo Colo W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 27 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 4 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.24 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colo Colo W 85 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colo Colo W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colo Colo W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Indep. Santa Fe W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Colo Colo W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Indep. Santa Fe W registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colo Colo W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
3.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colo Colo W

(Home)
15 Oct
Corinthians W
2 : 0
Colo Colo W
04 Oct
Colo Colo W
4 : 0
Deportes Iquique W
25 Sept
Deportes Iquique W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
03 Sept
Colo Colo W
4 : 0
Deportes Iquique W
29 Aug
Magallanes W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
Page 1 of 6

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Caracas W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Colo Colo W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras W 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Independiente del Valle W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 CA Belgrano de Cordoba W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Universitario de Deportes W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olimpia Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 LDU Quito W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Bolivar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional W W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 U. De Chile W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Dep. Cali W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Libertad Asuncion W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women (Play Offs)