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Colombe vs Stade Malien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Colombe
20%
Draws
35%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Colombe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Colombe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Colombe Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombe Stade Malien
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
Stade Malien vs Colombe
0:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Colombe vs Stade Malien
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombe 50 / 100
Stade Malien 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombe Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Colombe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Colombe scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Stade Malien let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Colombe VS Stade Malien
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombe

(Home)
01 Nov
Colombe
2 : 0
Bamenda
25 Oct
Colombe
1 : 0
Teungueth
18 Oct
Teungueth
0 : 2
Colombe
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 7

Stade Malien

(Away)
01 Nov
Real Bamako
0 : 1
Stade Malien
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 5
15 de Agosto 1
Simba 9
CFFA 1
Young Africans 8
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 2
APR 0
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 5
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 4
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 3
Maghreb Fez 3
ASEC Mimosas 2
Teungueth 0
Colombe 3
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 3
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 3
Horoya 2
Al Merreikh 1
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 2