Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colombia U19 vs Mexico U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Munoz S.
Assist: Galdames B.
26'
Pedrozo D.
34'
Naveda S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Mexico U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Colombia U19
30%
Draws
47%
Mexico U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U21 taking it.
  • Mexico U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Colombia U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U19 Mexico U21
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.09 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2022 Maurice Revello Tournament
Colombia U19 vs Mexico U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U19 23 / 100
Mexico U21 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U19 Mexico U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mexico U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Colombia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Colombia U19 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (11 games).

Scoring Trends

Colombia U19 VS Mexico U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Colombia U19
0 : 1
Panama U19
16 Sept
Colombia U19
2 : 0
Peru U19
10 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 0
Tunisia U23
07 Jun
D.R. Congo U20
2 : 2
Colombia U19
05 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 1
China U20
Page 1 of 3

Mexico U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Venezuela U23 1
Colombia U19 0
France U20 4
Mexico U21 1
Final
Venezuela U23 1
France U20 2
Colombia U19 0
Mexico U21 2