Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colombia U20 vs Russia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kozlov D.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Barrera J.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Benitez Hernandez R. A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Colombia U20 and Russia U21 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Colombia U20
15%
Draws
42%
Russia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Russia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Russia U21 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Russia U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U20 Russia U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.52 2.59
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Friendly International
Colombia U20 vs Russia U21
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Friendly International
Colombia U20 vs Russia U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez Hernandez R. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Russia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U20 10 / 100
Russia U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U20 Russia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Russia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombia U20 scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Russia U21 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Colombia U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U20 VS Russia U21
1.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U20

(Home)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
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Russia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Russia U21
1 : 0
Iraq U23
05 Jun
Russia U21
5 : 1
Iraq U23
30 Mar
Russia U21
1 : 2
Jordan U23
27 Mar
Russia U21
2 : 1
Uzbekistan U23
18 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 8
Russia U21
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