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Colombia U20 vs Saudi Arabia U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Fiscal de Talca
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombia U20 play Saudi Arabia U20 in the World Cup U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colombia U20 averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. Saudi Arabia U20 averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Colombia U20 won 3, Saudi Arabia U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 29, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Colombia U20 and 0.81 for Saudi Arabia U20. This points to a Colombia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Colombia U20
16%
Draws
29%
Saudi Arabia U20
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Colombia U20 picked up more points recently compared to Saudi Arabia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 26%
Saudi Arabia U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U20 Saudi Arabia U20
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2025 World Cup U20
Colombia U20 vs Saudi Arabia U20
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U20 vs Colombia U20
1:2
May 8, 2019 Friendly International
Saudi Arabia U20 vs Colombia U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Saudi Arabia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U20 55 / 100
Saudi Arabia U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U20 Saudi Arabia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Colombia U20 & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colombia U20 attacking → ← attacking Saudi Arabia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U20 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Saudi Arabia U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Colombia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Saudi Arabia U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 37
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

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PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombia U2031202:15
2Norway U2031202:15
3Nigeria U2031114:44
4Saudi Arabia U2030123:51