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Colombia U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U20 Estadio Emiliano Ghezzi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombia U20 W play Uruguay U20 W in the South American Championship Women U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colombia U20 W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Uruguay U20 W averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Colombia U20 W won 3, Uruguay U20 W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 10, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Colombia U20 W and 0.56 for Uruguay U20 W. This points to a Colombia U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Colombia U20 W
17%
Draws
34%
Uruguay U20 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Colombia U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Colombia U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Uruguay U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Colombia U20 W Clean Sheet 30%
Uruguay U20 W Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U20 W Uruguay U20 W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.78
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Colombia U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
2:0
Oct 7, 2022 South American Games Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Colombia U20 W
2:0
Apr 24, 2022 South American Championship Women U20
Uruguay U20 W vs Colombia U20 W
0:3
Nov 21, 2020 South American Championship Women U20
Colombia U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
0:0
Nov 26, 2015 South American Championship Women U20
Colombia U20 W vs Uruguay U20 W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viafara F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Uruguay U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U20 W 50 / 100
Uruguay U20 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U20 W Uruguay U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colombia U20 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colombia U20 W attacking → ← attacking Uruguay U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U20 W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Uruguay U20 W let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Colombia U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uruguay U20 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 36
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombia U20 W42203:08
2Venezuela U20 W42114:17
3Paraguay U20 W41214:25
4Uruguay U20 W41121:44
5Chile U20 W40220:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Argentina U20 W440012:212
2Brazil U20 W430115:49
3Ecuador U20 W420213:56
4Peru U20 W41032:143
5Bolivia U20 W40040:170