Sport Picks

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Colombia U23 vs Dominican Republic U23

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Romelio Martinez
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ruiz D.
47' Event
Tanton D.
55' Event
Cortes C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Colombia U23 and Dominican Republic U23 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colombia U23
6%
Draws
4%
Dominican Republic U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colombia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia U23 come out ahead of Dominican Republic U23 on wins alone.
  • Colombia U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Dominican Republic U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U23 Dominican Republic U23
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
5:0
Jan 9, 2024 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dominican Republic U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U23 95 / 100
Dominican Republic U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U23 Dominican Republic U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dominican Republic U23 conceded in 81% of 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Colombia U23 scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Dominican Republic U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U23 VS Dominican Republic U23
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%