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Colombia U23 vs Mexico U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Pan American Games 2003
Fri, Aug 15, 2003
0 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Mexico U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Colombia U23
15%
Draws
64%
Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mexico U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Colombia U23 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Mexico U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mexico U23 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U23 Mexico U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2023 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Colombia U23
2:0
Sep 10, 2023 Friendly International
Mexico U23 vs Colombia U23
2:0
Aug 15, 2003 Pan American Games
Colombia U23 vs Mexico U23
0:1
Mar 23, 1995 Pan American Games
Colombia U23 vs Mexico U23
1:2
Mar 16, 1995 Pan American Games
Mexico U23 vs Colombia U23
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U23 35 / 100
Mexico U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U23 Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U23's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mexico U23 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Colombia U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U23 VS Mexico U23
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U23

(Home)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
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Mexico U23

(Away)
10 Oct
Netherlands U21
1 : 0
Mexico U23
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Mexico U23
1 : 3
Japan U19
11 Jun
South Korea U21
0 : 1
Mexico U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Argentina U23 2
Colombia U23 1
Brazil U23 1
Mexico U23 0
Final
Argentina U23 1
Brazil U23 0
Colombia U23 0
Mexico U23 1