Sport Picks

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Colombia U23 vs Peru U23

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Calderon Vargas K. A.
87' Event
Guzman V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colombia U23
15%
Draws
49%
Peru U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peru U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Peru U23 haven't matched Colombia U23's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Colombia U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Colombia U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U23 Peru U23
Matches Played 33 20
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.39 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Peru U23
3:1
Dec 9, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia U23 vs Peru U23
1:1
Oct 13, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Colombia U23
1:0
Oct 10, 2019 Friendly International
Peru U23 vs Colombia U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderon Vargas K. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Peru U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U23 46 / 100
Peru U23 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U23 Peru U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru U23 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

Colombia U23's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Peru U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U23 VS Peru U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U23

(Home)
01 Feb
Colombia U23
0 : 2
Bolivia U23
29 Jan
Colombia U23
0 : 1
Venezuela U23
26 Jan
Brazil U23
2 : 0
Colombia U23
20 Jan
Ecuador U23
3 : 0
Colombia U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
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Peru U23

(Away)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
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