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Colombia vs Bolivia

World World

Friendly International 2024 Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arias J.
25' Event
Cordoba J.
Assist: Diaz L.
34'
Lerma J.

AI Match Summary

Colombia in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Colombia
15%
Draws
32%
Bolivia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia have won more games recently than Bolivia.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Colombia taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Bolivia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.77 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship
Colombia vs Bolivia
3:0
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
Bolivia vs Colombia
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Friendly International
Colombia vs Bolivia
3:0
Mar 24, 2022 World Championship
Colombia vs Bolivia
3:0
Sep 2, 2021 World Championship
Bolivia vs Colombia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordoba J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 95 / 100
Bolivia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Bolivia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bolivia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Colombia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Bolivia
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Bolivia

(Away)
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
15 Mar
Bolivia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
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