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Colombia vs Costa Rica

World World

Friendly International Estadio El Campín
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombia play Costa Rica in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colombia averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Costa Rica averaged 1 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Colombia won 4, Costa Rica won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.95 for Colombia and 0.94 for Costa Rica. This points to a Colombia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colombia
6%
Draws
4%
Costa Rica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colombia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa Rica.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Colombia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Costa Rica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Friendly International
Colombia vs Costa Rica
3:1
Jun 28, 2024 Copa América
Colombia vs Costa Rica
3:0
Oct 17, 2018 Friendly International
Colombia vs Costa Rica
3:1
Jun 12, 2016 Copa América
Colombia vs Costa Rica
2:3
Jun 6, 2015 Friendly International
Colombia vs Costa Rica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Costa Rica Compare

Top Goalscorer Soto A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 95 / 100
Costa Rica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Costa Rica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Costa Rica let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Costa Rica
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%