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Colombia vs Nigeria

World World

Friendly International 2025 Citi Field, New York, NY
Wed, Nov 19, 2025
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombia host Nigeria in the Friendly International 2025. This one's hard to separate. Nigeria have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Colombia have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.72. Head-to-head, Colombia have won 1 to Nigeria's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 19, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Nigeria to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Colombia
30%
Draws
31%
Nigeria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nigeria have won more games recently than Colombia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Colombia Clean Sheet 19%
Nigeria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Nigeria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.72 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Friendly International
Colombia vs Nigeria
0:0
May 30, 2010 Friendly International
Nigeria vs Colombia
1:1
Nov 20, 2008 Friendly International
Colombia vs Nigeria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 31 / 100
Nigeria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Nigeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nigeria conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Colombia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Nigeria
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Nigeria

(Away)
10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3
Nigeria
26 May
Nigeria
2 : 0
Zimbabwe
31 Mar
Jordan
2 : 2
Nigeria
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