Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025 Citi Field

Nigeria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colombia play Nigeria in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colombia averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Nigeria averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Colombia won 1, Nigeria won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 19, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Colombia and 1.25 for Nigeria. This points to a Nigeria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Colombia

35%

Draws

33%

Nigeria

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nigeria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Colombia picked up more points recently compared to Nigeria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Colombia Clean Sheet 19%

Nigeria Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colombia	Nigeria
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	6
Losses	8	6
Goals Scored	1.72	1.81
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Friendly International

Colombia vs Nigeria

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

May 30, 2010 Friendly International

Nigeria vs Colombia

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Nov 20, 2008 Friendly International

Colombia vs Nigeria

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 33 / 100

Nigeria 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colombia Nigeria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nigeria or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colombia attacking → ← attacking Nigeria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Nigeria let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nigeria lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 51

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50