Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colombia vs Paraguay

South America South America

Copa América NRG Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lerma J.
25'
Sub
Lucumi J. In: Mina Y.
Out: Lucumi J.
32' Event
Munoz D.
Assist: Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

The Copa América game between Colombia and Paraguay finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Colombia
28%
Draws
22%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colombia come out ahead of Paraguay on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Colombia taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa América fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Paraguay
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 World Championship
Colombia vs Paraguay
2:2
Jun 24, 2024 Copa América
Colombia vs Paraguay
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Paraguay vs Colombia
0:1
Nov 20, 2022 Friendly International
Colombia vs Paraguay
2:0
Nov 16, 2021 World Championship
Colombia vs Paraguay
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lerma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Enciso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 59 / 100
Paraguay 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Paraguay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Colombia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paraguay has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Paraguay
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Argentina33005:09
2Canada31111:24
3Chile30210:12
4Peru30120:31
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezuela33006:19
2Ecuador31114:34
3Mexico31111:14
4Jamaica30031:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uruguay33009:19
2Panama32016:56
3USA31023:33
4Bolivia30031:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia32106:27
2Brazil31205:25
3Costa Rica31112:44
4Paraguay30033:80