Sport Picks

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Colombia vs Venezuela

World World

Friendly International 2023 Chase Stadium, Fort Lauderdale, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Uzcategui R.
40'
Vivas C.
41' Event
Ferro A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Colombia in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Colombia
15%
Draws
32%
Venezuela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia have won more games recently than Venezuela.
  • Win probability leans Colombia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Colombia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia Venezuela
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
Venezuela vs Colombia
3:6
Dec 10, 2023 Friendly International
Colombia vs Venezuela
1:0
Sep 7, 2023 World Championship
Colombia vs Venezuela
1:0
Mar 29, 2022 World Championship
Venezuela vs Colombia
0:1
Jun 17, 2021 Copa América
Colombia vs Venezuela
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia 59 / 100
Venezuela 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia Venezuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombia scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Venezuela has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Colombia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia VS Venezuela
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia

(Home)
07 Jul
Switzerland
1 : 0
Colombia
04 Jul
Colombia
1 : 0
Ghana
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
18 Jun
Uzbekistan
1 : 3
Colombia
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Venezuela

(Away)
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
30 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0
Venezuela
27 Mar
Venezuela
4 : 1
Trinidad & Tobago
19 Nov
Canada
2 : 0
Venezuela
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