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Colombia W vs Mexico W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Central American & Caribbean Games Women Estadio Complejo Deportivo Moca 85, Moca
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Garcia P.
Assist: Perez N.

AI Match Summary

The Central American & Caribbean Games Women game between Colombia W and Mexico W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colombia W
15%
Draws
49%
Mexico W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Mexico W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia W Mexico W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 15 27
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.83 3.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
1:2
Jul 31, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
0:1
Jul 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Colombia W
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mexico W vs Colombia W
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Mexico W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mexico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia W 10 / 100
Mexico W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia W Mexico W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Colombia W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mexico W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 26% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Colombia W VS Mexico W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Puerto Rico W
0 : 3
Colombia W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
Page 1 of 6

Mexico W

(Away)
10 Oct
Mexico W
3 : 4
Jamaica W
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
05 Aug
Mexico W
4 : 1
El Salvador W
02 Aug
Jamaica W
0 : 7
Mexico W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezuela W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 El Salvador W 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Costa Rica W 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Dominican Republic W 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico W 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Colombia W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 Puerto Rico W 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
4 Jamaica W 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Central American & Caribbean Games Women (Play Offs)