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Colombia W vs Uruguay W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Robledo G.
Assist: Santos L.
46'
Sub
Velazco X. In: Paz A.
Out: Velazco X.
55'
Sub
Montoya D. In: Ramirez M.
Out: Montoya D.

AI Match Summary

The CONMEBOL Nations League Women game between Colombia W and Uruguay W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colombia W
6%
Draws
4%
Uruguay W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colombia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colombia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Colombia W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Colombia W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia W Uruguay W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Colombia W vs Uruguay W
1:0
Nov 30, 2021 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Uruguay W
1:0
Nov 28, 2021 Friendly International Women
Colombia W vs Uruguay W
3:2
Apr 4, 2018 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Uruguay W
7:0
Sep 13, 2014 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Uruguay W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Robledo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Uruguay W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia W 95 / 100
Uruguay W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia W Uruguay W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Colombia W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colombia W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Uruguay W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia W VS Uruguay W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia W862016:720
2Argentina W853018:518
3Venezuela W833219:612
4Ecuador W83238:611
5Peru W832312:1511
6Paraguay W831417:1110
7Chile W831411:910
8Uruguay W81347:116
9Bolivia W80172:401