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Colombo vs Renown

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Zarwan Z.
42' Event
Aman M.
50' Event
Seka J. Y.

AI Match Summary

Colombo in this Super League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colombo
44%
Draws
20%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colombo lately — more wins on the board than Renown.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Colombo Clean Sheet 18%
Renown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombo Renown
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2021 Super League
Colombo vs Renown
2:1
Feb 3, 2019 Super League
Renown vs Colombo
1:1
Jan 14, 2018 Super League
Colombo vs Renown
1:0
Mar 4, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Colombo
1:3
Nov 29, 2015 Super League
Renown vs Colombo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zarwan Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seka J. Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Renown Compare

Top Goalscorer Aman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombo 36 / 100
Renown 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombo Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colombo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Renown conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Colombo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colombo VS Renown
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%