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Colombo vs Renown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colombo host Renown in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Colombo have averaged 2.3 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Renown's 1.96 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Colombo have won 3 to Renown's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.75) back Colombo to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colombo
35%
Draws
25%
Renown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colombo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Renown haven't matched Colombo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Colombo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Colombo Clean Sheet 12%
Renown Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombo Renown
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.3 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Super League
Colombo vs Renown
0:0
May 2, 2021 Super League
Colombo vs Renown
2:1
Feb 3, 2019 Super League
Renown vs Colombo
1:1
Jan 14, 2018 Super League
Colombo vs Renown
1:0
Mar 4, 2017 Super League
Renown vs Colombo
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombo 56 / 100
Renown 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombo Renown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombo found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Colombo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Renown has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombo VS Renown
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombo

(Home)
12 Sept
Red Star
2 : 2
Colombo
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
14 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 1
Colombo
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Renown

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
04 Sept
Blue Eagles
2 : 0
Renown
29 Aug
Blue Star
2 : 3
Renown
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
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