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Colombo vs UP Country Lions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
York B.
67' Event
Aakib M.

AI Match Summary

UP Country Lions in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Colombo
20%
Draws
52%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombo haven't matched UP Country Lions's recent run of results.
  • Model gives UP Country Lions a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colombo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Colombo Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombo UP Country Lions
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 20
Draws 9 1
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.28 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Super League
Colombo vs UP Country Lions
0:2
Dec 29, 2021 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Colombo
2:3
Oct 27, 2018 Super League
Colombo vs UP Country Lions
4:3
Oct 7, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Colombo
0:3
Jul 31, 2016 Super League
Colombo vs UP Country Lions
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UP Country Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer York B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aakib M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombo 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombo UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

UP Country Lions has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Colombo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombo VS UP Country Lions
1.88 Goals Scored 4.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombo

(Home)
12 Sept
Red Star
2 : 2
Colombo
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
23 Aug
Blue Star
0 : 2
Colombo
14 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 1
Colombo
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UP Country Lions

(Away)
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
16 Aug
Ratnam SC
1 : 5
UP Country Lions
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