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Match Events
70'
70'
Bassouamina M.
AI Match Summary
Pau in this Coupe de France 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Colomiers haven't matched Pau's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Pau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pau, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Colomiers Clean Sheet 21%
Pau Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colomiers | Pau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2022 Coupe de France
Colomiers vs Pau
0:1
Aug 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Colomiers vs Pau
0:2
Mar 12, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Pau vs Colomiers
0:1
Oct 3, 2015 National 1 - Group C
Colomiers vs Pau
0:3
May 4, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Colomiers vs Pau
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colomiers Compare
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Pau Compare
Top Goalscorer Bassouamina M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colomiers 32 / 100
Pau 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colomiers Pau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colomiers's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Pau let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Colomiers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pau
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Colomiers
(Home) 16 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0 Colomiers
16 Nov
Colomiers
2 : 3 Vierzon Foot
07 Aug
Bergerac
1 : 1 Colomiers
19 Nov
Colomiers
0 : 1 Pau
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3 Colomiers
Page 1 of 7
16 Nov
Colomiers
2 : 3 Vierzon Foot
19 Nov
Colomiers
0 : 1 Pau
21 May
Colomiers
1 : 4 Bourges 18
30 Apr
Colomiers
1 : 3 Beziers
16 Apr
Colomiers
1 : 1 Trelissac
Page 1 of 3
Pau
(Away) 18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0 Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0 Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1 Sochaux
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2 Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1 Nancy
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0 Pau
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2 Pau
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1 Pau
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0 Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0 Pau
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Gandrange 0
Geispolsheim 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Sochaux 3
Chambly 1
Amiens SC 2
Golden Lion 1
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havre Caucriauville 0
AF Virois 4
Saint-Malo 2
Caen 3
Grand Santi 2
Le Geldar 1
Evreux 1
Grand Quevilly 0
Armentieres 0
Marnaval 2
Prix les Mezieres 0
Bastia 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orvault 2
Laval 1
Sene 0
Chataigneraie 3
Fougeres 3
Le Mans 2
Chartres-de-Bretagne 0
Avranches 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Paris 15 1
Linas-Montlhery 2
Liancourt Clermont 0
Paris 13 Atletico 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Lescar 0
EBBE 2
Toulon 1
Aubagne FC 2
Chambery 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Rumilly Vallieres 3
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 1
Metz 2
Heillecourt 0
Epinal 4
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Agde 2
Colomiers 3
Salinieres 0
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Andrezieux 0
Chatellerault 4
SA Merignac 2
Chauray 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 3
USLPV 2
Pont Sainte Maxence 0
Vierzon Foot 2
Vitre 0
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 1
Cholet 0
Plouvorn 1
Sable 0
Vannes 2
Concarneau 1
Illzach Modenheim 1
Grenoble 4
ES Tarentaise 0
Villefranche 5
Montauban 3
Ales 2
Nimes 3
Borgo 0
St Esteve Perpignan 3
Narbonne 1
Hyeres 3
Alberes Argeles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 1
Trelissac 2
Stade Bordelais 0
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Chaumontois 1
Lucciana 0
JA Drancy 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
FC Bondues 0
Wasquehal 2
Merpins 0
Lege Capferret 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Chateauroux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 2
Gueugnon 1
Velay 2
Macon 3
Bourges 18 1
St Apollinaire 0
Saint-Pryve 2
Dijon 1
Saint-Doulchard 1
Cosne US 3
Les Ulis 1
Paris FC 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Escaudain 1
Valenciennes 2
Red Star 1
Haguenau 1
Jura Dolois 0
Venus 0
Belfort 3
Olympique Marcquois 3
Cambrai 1
St Quentin 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Villerupt Thil 3
FC de Villers les Nancy 1
Reipertswiller 3
Nancy 2
Saint Priest 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Annecy 8
Diables Noirs 1
Bellevue Nantes 2
Basse Goulaine 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Lannion FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Venissieux FC 0
Limonest 2
Jura Sud 3
Vaulx 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 4
Le Havre 3
St Gregoire 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Mareuil SC 1
Les Herbiers 6
Auray 0
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 2
Poissy 1
Teteghem 1
Loon Plage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
NDC Angers 2
Granville 4
L'Etoile 2
Baie Mahault 1
Biars-Bretenoux 1
Bergerac 2
Merignac 0
Niort 1
Eperlecques 0
Bethune 1
Beauvais 0
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 2
Feurs 1
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
RC Grasse 2
Aubervilliers 2
Quevilly 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
St Etienne 0
Rodez 1
1/64-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Thaon 3
Sochaux 2
Amiens SC 10
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Nantes -
TBD -
AF Virois 3
Caen 0
Grand Santi 0
Evreux 3
Marnaval 0
Bastia 3
Lorient -
TBD -
Orvault 0
Chataigneraie 1
Fougeres 0
Avranches 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 2
Paris 13 Atletico 1
TBD -
Lens -
EBBE 1
Aubagne FC 4
Chambery 2
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Lyon -
TBD -
Metz 1
Epinal 0
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Colomiers 0
Pau 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Chatellerault 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 0
Vierzon Foot 6
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 2
Plouvorn 0
Vannes 1
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 0
Montauban 0
Nimes 4
St Esteve Perpignan 1
Hyeres 2
TBD -
Marseille -
Trelissac 2
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
JA Drancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Wasquehal 1
Lege Capferret 1
Chateauroux 4
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 4
Macon 1
Bourges 18 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Cosne US 0
Paris FC 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Valenciennes 3
Haguenau 1
Belfort 2
Olympique Marcquois 0
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 2
Reipertswiller 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Annecy 3
Bellevue Nantes 0
Lannion FC 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Limonest 1
Jura Sud 2
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 3
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 1
Loon Plage 2
TBD -
Reims -
Granville 6
L'Etoile 0
Bergerac 0
Niort 1
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 4
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 0
RC Grasse 1
Aubervilliers 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Rodez 1
1/32-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Clermont 0
Strasbourg 0
Angers 1
Thaon 1
Amiens SC 0
Nantes 2
AF Virois 0
Evreux 1
Bastia 2
Lorient 6
Chataigneraie 0
Avranches 0
Brest 2
Linas-Montlhery 0
Lens 2
Aubagne FC 1
Chambery 3
Lyon 2
Metz 1
Lille 2
Troyes 0
Pau 2
Montpellier 1
Nice 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Avoine 1
Vierzon Foot 2
Plabennec 2
Vannes 0
Grenoble 1
Nimes 0
Hyeres 0
Marseille 2
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Wasquehal 1
Chateauroux 1
PSG 3
Chamalieres 1
Bourges 18 0
Paris FC 3
Valenciennes 1
Belfort 3
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Annecy 6
Lannion FC 1
Toulouse 7
Jura Sud 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 4
Loon Plage 0
Reims 7
Granville 0
Niort 3
Dunkerque 2
Auxerre 3
RC Grasse 1
Tamponnaise 0
Monaco 2
Rodez 3
1/16-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 0
Angers 1
Thaon 0
Nantes 1
Bastia 1
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Lens 3
Chambery 0
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Pau 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Vierzon Foot 1
Plabennec 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 1
Rennes 0
U.S. Pays de Cassel 0
PSG 7
Chamalieres 0
Paris FC 4
Belfort 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Les Herbiers 0
Reims 3
Niort 0
Auxerre 4
RC Grasse 0
Rodez 1
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Nantes 2
Lorient 1
Lens 2
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
PSG 1
Paris FC 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 3
Reims 1
Auxerre 2
Rodez 3
Quarter-finals
Nantes 2
Lens 1
Lyon 2
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
Annecy 3
Toulouse 6
Rodez 1
Semi-finals
Nantes 1
Lyon 0
Annecy 1
Toulouse 2
Final
Nantes 1
Toulouse 5
