Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Madryn

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Santa Fe
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bonansea A.
Assist: Cano L.
15'
Martinez D.
42'
Munoz M.

AI Match Summary

Colon Santa Fe in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colon Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colon Santa Fe
33%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Madryn
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Colon Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Deportivo Madryn haven't matched Colon Santa Fe's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Colon Santa Fe's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Santa Fe Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Colon Santa Fe
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Madryn
2:1
Oct 26, 2024 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Madryn
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs Colon Santa Fe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonansea A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcioni J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Top Goalscorer Silba L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon Santa Fe 50 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Santa Fe Deportivo Madryn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon Santa Fe's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Madryn conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Colon Santa Fe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colon Santa Fe VS Deportivo Madryn
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon Santa Fe

(Home)
17 Jul
Ferro
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
12 Jul
Colon Santa Fe
4 : 0
Central Norte
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2
Colon Santa Fe
20 Jun
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
13 Jun
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 3
Colon Santa Fe
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Deportivo Madryn

(Away)
11 Jul
Deportivo Moron
2 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
05 Jul
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2
Colon Santa Fe
21 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1
Los Andes
14 Jun
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 2
San Miguel
07 Jun
San Telmo
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Ciudad Bolivar22810421:1734
5Los Andes2088419:832
6Almirante Brown2187615:1331
7CA Estudiantes2287719:1831
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Temperley22910323:1837
3Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
4Tristan Suarez2199318:1136
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2279620:1730
7Atl. Rafaela2286816:1830
8Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2168718:1926
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors21651016:2223
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)