Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colon vs Cerrito

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Mendez L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colon and Cerrito finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Colon
35%
Draws
30%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colon come out ahead of Cerrito on wins alone.
  • Colon are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Colon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Colon Clean Sheet 68%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Cerrito
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cerrito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 51 / 100
Cerrito 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Cerrito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Colon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Cerrito
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
21 Aug
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Colon
16 Aug
Colon
2 : 1
La Luz
08 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Cerrito
03 Aug
Atenas
4 : 1
Colon
25 Jul
Colon
2 : 3
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

Cerrito

(Away)
22 Aug
Cerrito
3 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
14 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
08 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Cerrito
02 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1
Fenix
18 Jul
Rentistas
0 : 0
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 14 9 1 4 25:14 28
2 River Plate Montevideo 15 7 4 4 23:18 25
3 Plaza Colonia 15 7 3 5 21:14 24
4 Cerrito 15 6 6 3 20:16 24
5 Colon 15 6 4 5 17:18 22
6 Tacuarembo 14 6 3 5 11:13 21
7 Rentistas 15 5 5 5 18:18 20
8 Fenix 14 4 6 4 17:17 18
9 Paysandu FC 15 5 2 8 19:22 17
10 La Luz 14 4 5 5 12:15 17
11 Club Oriental De Futbol 14 3 7 4 18:17 16
12 Miramar 15 3 6 6 16:21 15
13 Uruguay Montevideo FC 15 4 3 8 16:22 15
14 Huracan FC 14 4 3 7 12:20 15
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)