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Colon vs Cerrito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Mendez L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colon and Cerrito finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Colon
30%
Draws
54%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cerrito come out ahead of Colon on wins alone.
  • Cerrito are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Colon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Colon Clean Sheet 18%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Cerrito
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Cerrito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 15 / 100
Cerrito 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Cerrito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Colon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Cerrito
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
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Cerrito

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)