Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colon vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Goberville L.
65' Event
Airaldi B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Colon
20%
Draws
38%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Colon's 1.07.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colon Clean Sheet 17%
Fenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Fenix
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Fenix
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Colon
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Fenix
1:3
Apr 7, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Colon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Airaldi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Fenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Goberville L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 31 / 100
Fenix 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fenix conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Colon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Fenix
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
08 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Cerrito
03 Aug
Atenas
4 : 1
Colon
25 Jul
Colon
2 : 3
Paysandu FC
11 Jul
Huracan FC
0 : 2
Colon
05 Jul
Colon
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
08 Aug
Fenix
0 : 0
La Luz
02 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1
Fenix
26 Jul
Fenix
1 : 0
Atenas
13 Jul
Paysandu FC
1 : 0
Fenix
05 Jul
Fenix
2 : 0
Huracan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 13 8 1 4 23:13 25
2 River Plate Montevideo 13 6 3 4 20:18 21
3 Plaza Colonia 13 6 2 5 16:12 20
4 Cerrito 13 5 5 3 16:15 20
5 Rentistas 13 5 4 4 17:16 19
6 Fenix 13 4 6 3 16:13 18
7 Colon 13 5 3 5 14:16 18
8 Tacuarembo 13 5 3 5 10:13 18
9 La Luz 13 4 5 4 11:13 17
10 Paysandu FC 13 5 1 7 17:19 16
11 Club Oriental De Futbol 13 3 6 4 17:16 15
12 Uruguay Montevideo FC 13 4 3 6 15:17 15
13 Miramar 13 3 5 5 15:17 14
14 Huracan FC 13 3 3 7 9:18 12
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)