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Colon vs Maldonado

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Noble Sequeira A. M.
(Penalty)
82'
Toledo H.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between Colon and Maldonado finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maldonado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colon
44%
Draws
20%
Maldonado
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Maldonado carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Colon Clean Sheet 15%
Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Maldonado
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Maldonado
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Colon
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Colon
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Maldonado
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Maldonado vs Colon
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 35 / 100
Maldonado 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Maldonado

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Colon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Colon found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Maldonado let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Maldonado
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atenas3
Tacuarembo3
Colon1
Maldonado2
Final
Atenas0
Maldonado1