Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2023

Colon

Wed, Oct 18, 2023

2 - 3

06:00 PM

Potencia

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Cutti A.

(Penalty)

63'

Mautone F.

(Penalty)

90'

Villalba F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Potencia in this Copa Uruguay 2023 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Colon

20%

Draws

40%

Potencia

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Colon have won more games recently than Potencia.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Colon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Potencia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Colon Clean Sheet 20%

Potencia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colon	Potencia
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	11	4
Draws	12	10
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.09	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.35	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Copa Uruguay

Colon vs Potencia

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.04

Avg xA / game 0.68

Potencia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lerman T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 32 / 100

Potencia 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colon Potencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Potencia has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Colon's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Away concern: Potencia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)

23 Sept

Liverpool M.

3 : 0

Colon

19 Sept

Fenix

1 : 1

Colon

13 Sept

Colon

0 : 1

Rentistas

09 Sept

Boston River

2 : 0

Colon

05 Sept

Miramar

0 : 1

Colon

Page 1 of 7

Potencia

(Away)

11 Aug

Potencia

2 : 0

Rocha

04 Dec

Atenas

3 : 0

Potencia

29 Nov

Potencia

1 : 1

Rampla Juniors

26 Nov

Club Oriental De Futbol

1 : 0

Potencia

20 Nov

Potencia

0 : 2

Cerrito

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Huracan Buceo 1

Ferro Carril 2

TBD -

Bella Vista -

TBD -

CA Cerro -

Tacuarembo -

TBD -

Fenix -

Wanderers Durazno 0

Terremoto 2

TBD -

Miramar -

TBD -

Wanderers -

Juventud Colonia 2

Salto FC 1

TBD -

Albion -

TBD -

River Plate Montevideo -

Cooper 0

Libertad San Carlos 1

TBD -

Uruguay Montevideo FC -

TBD -

Plaza Colonia -

TBD -

Defensor Sp. -

Campana 1

Club Atletico Basanez 2

TBD -

Cerrito -

Quilmes 2

Central Esp. 1

TBD -

Rampla Juniors -

TBD -

La Luz -

Lavalleja (Minas) -

Rocha -

TBD -

Juventud -

TBD -

Danubio -

Huracan (Treinta y Tres) 0

Lito 1

TBD -

Sud America -

TBD -

Penarol -

Universitario Salto -

TBD -

Boston River -

Salus 0

Atletico Juanico 4

TBD -

Atenas -

TBD -

Liverpool M. -

Colon 2

Paysandu Bella Vista 1

TBD -

Potencia -

TBD -

Club Nacional -

Nacional Nueva Helvecia 2

Villa Espanola 1

TBD -

Progreso -

TBD -

Montevideo City -

Central San Jose -

TBD -

Maldonado -

Deutscher 0

Sportivo Barracas 1

TBD -

Rentistas -

TBD -

Cerro Largo -

Club Oriental De Futbol -

TBD -

Racing Montevideo -

1/32-finals

Ferro Carril 1

Bella Vista 0

TBD -

CA Cerro -

Tacuarembo -

TBD -

Fenix -

Terremoto 1

Miramar 2

TBD -

Wanderers -

Juventud Colonia 0

Albion 5

TBD -

River Plate Montevideo -

Libertad San Carlos 0

Uruguay Montevideo FC 2

TBD -

Plaza Colonia -

TBD -

Defensor Sp. -

Club Atletico Basanez 0

Cerrito 1

Quilmes 1

Rampla Juniors 2

TBD -

La Luz -

Lavalleja (Minas) 2

Juventud 1

TBD -

Danubio -

Lito 0

Sud America 2

TBD -

Penarol -

Universitario Salto -

TBD -

Boston River -

Atletico Juanico 1

Atenas 2

TBD -

Liverpool M. -

Colon 2

Potencia 3

TBD -

Club Nacional -

Nacional Nueva Helvecia 1

Progreso 2

TBD -

Montevideo City -

Central San Jose -

TBD -

Maldonado -

Sportivo Barracas 2

Rentistas 1

TBD -

Cerro Largo -

Club Oriental De Futbol -

TBD -

Racing Montevideo -

1/16-finals

Ferro Carril 0

CA Cerro 1

Tacuarembo 1

Fenix 2

Miramar 0

Wanderers 1

Albion 0

River Plate Montevideo 2

Uruguay Montevideo FC 1

Plaza Colonia 2

Defensor Sp. 3

Cerrito 0

Rampla Juniors 2

La Luz 3

Lavalleja (Minas) 1

Danubio 3

Sud America 0

Penarol 3

Universitario Salto 1

Boston River 3

Atenas 2

Liverpool M. 3

Potencia 0

Club Nacional 4

Progreso 1

Montevideo City 2

Central San Jose 0

Maldonado 1

Sportivo Barracas 3

Cerro Largo 2

Club Oriental De Futbol 1

Racing Montevideo 0

1/8-finals

CA Cerro 2

Fenix 1

Wanderers 0

River Plate Montevideo 4

Plaza Colonia 0

Defensor Sp. 1

La Luz 0

Danubio 1

Penarol 2

Boston River 0

Liverpool M. 2

Club Nacional 1

Montevideo City 2

Maldonado 0

Sportivo Barracas 2

Club Oriental De Futbol 1

Quarter-finals

CA Cerro 1

River Plate Montevideo 2

Defensor Sp. 1

Danubio 0

Penarol 3

Liverpool M. 1

Montevideo City 8

Sportivo Barracas 1

Semi-finals

River Plate Montevideo 1

Defensor Sp. 2

Penarol 1

Montevideo City 3

Final

Defensor Sp. 3

Montevideo City 2

Colon vs Potencia

Uruguay

Colon

Potencia

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Colon Compare

Potencia Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

Potencia

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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