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Colon vs Tacuarembo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Alvarez R.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Colon and Tacuarembo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Colon
35%
Draws
39%
Tacuarembo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tacuarembo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Colon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Colon Clean Sheet 25%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Tacuarembo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.04 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Tacuarembo
1:0
May 24, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Colon
2:0
Aug 20, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Colon
2:2
May 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Tacuarembo
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Colon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tacuarembo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon 33 / 100
Tacuarembo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Tacuarembo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacuarembo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colon scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Tacuarembo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Colon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colon VS Tacuarembo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon

(Home)
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
26 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 0
Colon
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
19 Sept
Fenix
1 : 1
Colon
13 Sept
Colon
0 : 1
Rentistas
Page 1 of 6

Tacuarembo

(Away)
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
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