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Stadium Background

Colonia Moscardo vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Martinez D.
60' Event
Chavales J.
73'
Nurudeen I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Colonia Moscardo and CD Coria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colonia Moscardo
35%
Draws
25%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Coria come out ahead of Colonia Moscardo on wins alone.
  • Colonia Moscardo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo CD Coria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs CD Coria
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Colonia Moscardo
5:0
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Colonia Moscardo
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs CD Coria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sy A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavales J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 68 / 100
CD Coria 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Colonia Moscardo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

CD Coria let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Colonia Moscardo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colonia Moscardo VS CD Coria
1.4 Goals Scored 1.88
0.4 Goals Conceded 0.63
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colonia Moscardo

(Home)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)