Sport Picks
Colonia Moscardo vs Pozuelo de Alarcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
6'
6'
Penarando M.
12'
12'
Sanchez B.
18'
18'
Sanchez B.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Colonia Moscardo and Pozuelo de Alarcon finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colonia Moscardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pozuelo de Alarcon come out ahead of Colonia Moscardo on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Colonia Moscardo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colonia Moscardo | Pozuelo de Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
5:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Colonia Moscardo
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Colonia Moscardo
3:0
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez B.
3 Goals Assists Leader Penarando M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Aham C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colonia Moscardo 95 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colonia Moscardo Pozuelo de Alarcon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Colonia Moscardo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Colonia Moscardo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Colonia Moscardo VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Colonia Moscardo
(Home) 04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0 Navalcarnero
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 Orihuela
Page 1 of 3
Pozuelo de Alarcon
(Away) 04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1 RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Cala Pozuelo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | CD Mostoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | CD Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 7 | RC Alcobendas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 13 | CP Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mexico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 16 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
