Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2015/2016

Puerta Bonita

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colonia Moscardo play Puerta Bonita in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colonia Moscardo averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Puerta Bonita averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Colonia Moscardo won 0, Puerta Bonita won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 7, 2016 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Colonia Moscardo and 1.44 for Puerta Bonita. This points to a Puerta Bonita double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Colonia Moscardo

35%

Draws

33%

Puerta Bonita

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Puerta Bonita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Colonia Moscardo picked up more points recently compared to Puerta Bonita.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 16%

Puerta Bonita Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colonia Moscardo	Puerta Bonita
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	6
Draws	7	11
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	1.06	1
Goals Conceded	1.58	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Puerta Bonita vs Colonia Moscardo

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Sep 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Colonia Moscardo vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Colonia Moscardo vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

0:3

Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Puerta Bonita vs Colonia Moscardo

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Colonia Moscardo vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 32 / 100

Puerta Bonita 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colonia Moscardo Puerta Bonita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Puerta Bonita or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colonia Moscardo attacking → ← attacking Puerta Bonita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colonia Moscardo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Puerta Bonita let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Colonia Moscardo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Puerta Bonita lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 29

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Sebastian Reyes	38	24	9	5	68:26	81
2	Navalcarnero	38	20	12	6	76:42	72
3	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	18	15	5	52:34	69
4	Atl. Madrid B	38	17	13	8	48:29	64
5	San Fernando de Henares	38	16	12	10	58:45	60
6	Union Adarve	38	17	8	13	55:38	59
7	Atletico Pinto	38	15	12	11	42:36	57
8	RSD Alcala	38	17	6	15	53:49	57
9	Trival Valderas	38	15	12	11	44:35	57
10	Alcorcon B	38	15	10	13	57:53	55
11	CD Mostoles	38	12	16	10	48:40	52
12	Mexico	38	12	14	12	47:40	50
13	Aravaca CF	38	10	17	11	43:48	47
14	Parla	38	12	11	15	41:50	47
15	Rayo Vallecano B	38	10	16	12	44:42	46
16	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	9	16	13	33:43	43
17	Colonia Moscardo	38	7	13	18	36:55	34
18	Puerta Bonita	38	6	15	17	40:56	33
19	CDE Lugo Fuenlabrada	38	7	11	20	31:57	32
20	Collado Villalba	38	1	2	35	19:117	5