Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2023

Amparo SP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colorado Caieiras play Amparo SP in the Paulista A4 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colorado Caieiras averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Amparo SP averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Colorado Caieiras won 0, Amparo SP won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2023 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Colorado Caieiras and 1.00 for Amparo SP. This points to a Amparo SP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Colorado Caieiras

31%

Draws

38%

Amparo SP

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Amparo SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Colorado Caieiras picked up more points recently compared to Amparo SP.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 23%

Amparo SP Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colorado Caieiras	Amparo SP
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	10
Draws	14	6
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.16	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Paulista A4

Colorado Caieiras vs Amparo SP

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Apr 29, 2023 Paulista A4

Amparo SP vs Colorado Caieiras

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Caieiras 33 / 100

Amparo SP 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colorado Caieiras Amparo SP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amparo SP or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colorado Caieiras attacking → ← attacking Amparo SP

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Caieiras scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Amparo SP let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Colorado Caieiras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Amparo SP lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 36

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penapolense	10	8	1	1	28:5	25
2	Vocem	10	7	3	0	23:6	24
3	Tanabi	10	4	2	4	13:11	14
4	Fernandopolis	10	4	1	5	14:15	13
5	Tupa	10	2	2	6	9:20	8
6	Santacruzense	10	0	1	9	0:30	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Taquaritinga	10	6	4	0	16:6	22
2	Francana	10	4	4	2	9:6	16
3	Catanduva FC	10	4	3	3	12:11	15
4	America SP	10	3	4	3	10:11	13
5	Inter de Bebedouro	10	2	2	6	14:17	8
6	Batatais	10	2	1	7	8:18	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	XV de Jau	10	7	1	2	20:8	22
2	Sao-Carlense	10	6	2	2	12:5	20
3	Uniao Sao Joao	10	4	4	2	15:10	16
4	Independente SP	10	4	3	3	13:9	15
5	Mogi Mirim	10	1	3	6	4:14	6
6	Sao Carlos	10	1	1	8	3:21	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SKA Brasil	10	5	4	1	14:5	19
2	Uniao Barbarense	10	5	3	2	9:4	18
3	Rio Branco SP	10	3	5	2	13:12	14
4	Amparo SP	10	4	1	5	12:17	13
5	Paulista	10	2	3	5	12:15	9
6	Colorado Caieiras	10	2	2	6	13:20	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo SP	10	6	3	1	18:6	21
2	Guarulhos	10	4	4	2	9:6	16
3	Jacarei FC	10	4	4	2	11:9	16
4	Manthiqueira	10	4	1	5	10:14	13
5	Atletico Mogi	10	3	1	6	8:14	10
6	Uniao Mogi	10	1	3	6	9:16	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jabaquara	10	7	0	3	14:7	21
2	Nacional SP	10	5	3	2	12:8	18
3	Maua FC	10	3	4	3	14:9	13
4	Mauaense	10	3	4	3	14:15	13
5	Barcelona SP	10	3	4	3	5:6	13
6	ECUS SP	10	1	1	8	7:21	-2