Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Ojediran H. In: Atencio J.
Out: Ojediran H.
62'
Sub
Frederick W. In: Phillip D.
Out: Frederick W.
62'
Sub
Sealy D. In: Yapi D.
Out: Sealy D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Colorado Rapids and Austin FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Rapids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Colorado Rapids
35%
Draws
38%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Rapids come out ahead of Austin FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 15%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids Austin FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
1:1
Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 31 / 100
Austin FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Rapids scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Austin FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Colorado Rapids has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS Austin FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

Austin FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)