Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Sub
Ojediran H. In: Atencio J.
Out: Ojediran H.
62'
Sub
Frederick W. In: Phillip D.
Out: Frederick W.
62'
Sub
Sealy D. In: Yapi D.
Out: Sealy D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Colorado Rapids and Austin FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Rapids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Colorado Rapids
20%
Draws
38%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colorado Rapids

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colorado Rapids come out ahead of Austin FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colorado Rapids a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 20%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids Austin FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
3:2
Jun 16, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 42 / 100
Austin FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids Austin FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Rapids scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Austin FC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Colorado Rapids has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS Austin FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
02 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Austin FC
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
Juarez
24 May
Colorado Rapids
1 : 2
FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6

Austin FC

(Away)
02 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
Austin FC
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo
3 : 0
Austin FC
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1
Seattle Sounders
08 Jul
Austin FC
4 : 0
Sporting Jax
03 Jul
Austin FC
0 : 1
Queretaro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 38:17 34
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 35:19 34
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 37:24 33
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 25:24 29
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 29:25 27
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 32:25 27
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 24:24 26
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 33:33 24
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 20:22 24
10 Minnesota United 18 6 6 6 20:25 24
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 27:25 22
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 24:29 22
13 San Diego FC 18 5 6 7 32:29 21
14 Austin FC 18 4 5 9 22:36 17
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 18:46 14
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 35:14 40
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 45:32 38
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 28:21 30
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 32:23 29
5 New York City 18 7 5 6 31:24 26
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 45:44 26
7 Charlotte FC 18 7 4 7 29:27 25
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 29:39 25
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 26:29 23
10 Orlando City 18 6 2 10 30:47 20
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 26:28 20
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 24:32 17
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 25:33 16
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 24:35 16
15 Atlanta United 18 3 3 12 19:33 12
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)