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Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Aaronson P.
(Penalty)
54'
Sub
Phillip D. In: Whittaker M.
Out: Phillip D.
54'
Sub
Yapi D. In: Abu Farkhi S.
Out: Yapi D.

AI Match Summary

Colorado Rapids in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colorado Rapids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Colorado Rapids
20%
Draws
44%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Montreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Colorado Rapids have won more games recently than CF Montreal.
  • Colorado Rapids are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Colorado Rapids here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 16%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal
1:0
Jun 23, 2024 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal
4:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
CF Montreal vs Colorado Rapids
2:6
May 31, 2020 MLS
CF Montreal vs Colorado Rapids
0:0
Aug 4, 2019 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 48 / 100
CF Montreal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Rapids Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Colorado Rapids scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Colorado Rapids has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS CF Montreal
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)