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Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Colorado Rapids Logo

Colorado Rapids

2 - 0
FT
Sporting Kansas City Logo

Sporting Kansas City

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Bassong Z.
38'
Agyabeng K.
42'
Sub
Suleymanov S. In: Bartlett J.
Out: Suleymanov S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Colorado Rapids and Sporting Kansas City finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Rapids.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Colorado Rapids
30%
Draws
41%
Sporting Kansas City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Kansas City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Colorado Rapids carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Rapids Sporting Kansas City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.34 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids
1:4
Aug 31, 2025 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids
4:2
Jul 5, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Sporting Kansas City
1:2
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs Colorado Rapids
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Rapids Compare

Top Goalscorer Cannon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sporting Kansas City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Rapids 30 / 100
Sporting Kansas City 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Rapids Sporting Kansas City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Kansas City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Kansas City conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Colorado Rapids found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Colorado Rapids stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Rapids VS Sporting Kansas City
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Rapids

(Home)
11 Oct
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
San Jose Earthquakes
27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2
Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City

(Away)
11 Oct
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 3
Portland Timbers
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Houston Dynamo
0 : 2
Sporting Kansas City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
13 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)