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Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive

USA USA

USL Cup Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Masereka S.
25'
Ruiz R.
38' Event
Tejada J.
Assist: Williams S.

AI Match Summary

Colorado Springs in this USL Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colorado Springs
6%
Draws
4%
El Paso Locomotive
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colorado Springs lately — more wins on the board than El Paso Locomotive.
  • Win probability leans Colorado Springs's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Colorado Springs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Colorado Springs, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 20%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs El Paso Locomotive
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 USL Cup
Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
2:2
Jun 1, 2025 USL Cup
El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs El Paso Locomotive
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Tejada J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fjeldberg J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

El Paso Locomotive Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfaro J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 85 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs El Paso Locomotive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Springs's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

El Paso Locomotive's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Colorado Springs has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS El Paso Locomotive
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
Charleston
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0
Miami FC
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3
Colorado Springs
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

El Paso Locomotive

(Away)
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2
New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2
El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92
6South Georgia Tormenta00000:00
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams