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Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising

USA USA

USL Championship Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Studenhofft G.
Assist: Flores D.
34' Event
Perez A.
Assist: Daroma F.
42'
Ramirez E.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship game between Colorado Springs and Phoenix Rising finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Colorado Springs
6%
Draws
4%
Phoenix Rising
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colorado Springs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Colorado Springs a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 20%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs Phoenix Rising
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 USL Cup
Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs
4:1
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Metusala G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Phoenix Rising Compare

Top Goalscorer Studenhofft G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 85 / 100
Phoenix Rising 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs Phoenix Rising

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Springs's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Phoenix Rising let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Colorado Springs stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS Phoenix Rising
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
Charleston
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0
Miami FC
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3
Colorado Springs
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6

Phoenix Rising

(Away)
26 Jul
Phoenix Rising
0 : 0
Hartford Athletic
19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2
Monterey Bay
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
21 Jun
Phoenix Rising
3 : 4
Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay17105228:1535
2Charleston1783632:2427
3Detroit City1683523:1527
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1672719:1923
6Rhode Island1564525:1822
7Indy Eleven1563618:1721
8Miami FC1856722:2921
9Hartford Athletic1648412:1420
10Loudoun United1629519:2915
11Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
12Brooklyn FC1634917:2713
13Sporting Jax18151223:468
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1787227:1931
2San Antonio FC1777322:1928
3Colorado Springs1674528:2325
4New Mexico1473419:1524
5Sacramento Republic1565419:1523
6FC Tulsa1565418:1623
7Lexington1664624:2022
8El Paso Locomotive1664627:2522
9Las Vegas Lights1663724:2621
10Phoenix Rising1756623:2421
11Oakland Roots1756625:2721
12Monterey Bay17431017:2715
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)