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Colorado Springs vs New Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Archimede L. In: Dennis C.
Out: Archimede L.
63'
Sub
Daroma F. In: Tejada J.
Out: Daroma F.
63'
Sub
Williams S. In: Creek B.
Out: Williams S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Colorado Springs
35%
Draws
30%
New Mexico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • New Mexico average 1.66 goals a game right now, well clear of Colorado Springs's 1.62.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 16%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs New Mexico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.62 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
0:0
Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
1:0
May 17, 2026 USL Cup
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
4:0
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
3:2
Sep 25, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 30 / 100
New Mexico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs New Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Springs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Springs found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

New Mexico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Colorado Springs remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colorado Springs VS New Mexico
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colorado Springs

(Home)
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0
Colorado Springs
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
San Antonio FC
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6

New Mexico

(Away)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0
New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3
Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4
New Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)