Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Zawadzki S.
24' Event
Bangoura S.
Assist: Farsi M.
45' Event
Rossi D.
Assist: Farsi M.

AI Match Summary

Columbus Crew in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Columbus Crew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Columbus Crew
6%
Draws
4%
Atlanta United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Columbus Crew lately — more wins on the board than Atlanta United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Columbus Crew taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Columbus Crew have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 18%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew Atlanta United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
4:5
Jun 25, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atlanta United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 85 / 100
Atlanta United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew Atlanta United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Columbus Crew scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Atlanta United let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Columbus Crew has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS Atlanta United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
12 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 1
Burnley
24 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 0
Atlanta United
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
Philadelphia Union
1 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Atlanta United

(Away)
23 Jul
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
18 Jul
Nashville SC
1 : 0
Atlanta United
24 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 0
Atlanta United
19 May
Orlando City
4 : 1
Atlanta United
16 May
Orlando City
1 : 1
Atlanta United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps15102337:1632
2San Jose Earthquakes16102434:1932
3Los Angeles FC1793530:1830
4Real Salt Lake1582527:2226
5FC Dallas1675432:2426
6Seattle Sounders1573519:1924
7Houston Dynamo1572620:2423
8St. Louis City1664622:2322
9Minnesota United1664619:2422
10Los Angeles Galaxy1755723:2820
11Colorado Rapids1661926:2419
12Portland Timbers1653829:3118
13San Diego FC1645730:2817
14Austin FC1645722:3217
15Sporting Kansas City16421018:4014
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC16123133:1139
2Inter Miami16104242:3034
3Chicago Fire1582529:1926
4New England Revolution1582522:1826
5FC Cincinnati1665540:4023
6New York City1664627:2222
7Charlotte FC1664626:2522
8New York Red Bulls1664626:3522
9DC United1647522:2619
10Orlando City1652927:4417
11Columbus Crew1644822:2516
12Toronto FC1637622:2916
13CF Montreal1643922:3215
14Atlanta United16331016:2612
15Philadelphia Union16241021:3110
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)