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Stadium Background

Columbus Crew vs DC United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zawadzki S.
Assist: Chambost D.
24' Event
Kurokawa K.
Penalty Missed
41' Event
Zaroury A.
Assist: Chambost D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Columbus Crew and DC United finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Columbus Crew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Columbus Crew
15%
Draws
0%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Columbus Crew come out ahead of DC United on wins alone.
  • Columbus Crew are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 20%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew DC United
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 3 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.36 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs DC United
3:0
Sep 9, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Columbus Crew
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs DC United
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Columbus Crew
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Columbus Crew
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Top Goalscorer Zawadzki S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaroury A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

DC United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 85 / 100
DC United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: DC United conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: DC United has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS DC United
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
31 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
DC United
29 Oct
FC Dallas
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
24 Oct
Columbus Crew
4 : 2
Toronto FC
22 Oct
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
St. Louis City
18 Oct
FC Cincinnati
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 7

DC United

(Away)
31 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 0
DC United
28 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
DC United
24 Oct
DC United
0 : 2
FC Cincinnati
21 Oct
FC Cincinnati
2 : 1
DC United
17 Oct
Orlando City
4 : 1
DC United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 33 18 7 8 72:34 61
2 FC Dallas 33 15 10 8 59:50 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes 33 14 10 9 56:48 52
4 St. Louis City 33 14 9 10 58:48 51
5 Houston Dynamo 33 14 9 10 43:42 51
6 Los Angeles FC 33 12 11 10 51:38 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy 33 11 11 11 49:55 44
8 Portland Timbers 33 12 7 14 60:61 43
9 Colorado Rapids 33 12 7 14 46:47 43
10 Seattle Sounders 33 11 10 12 42:45 43
11 Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 51:51 42
12 Minnesota United 33 10 11 12 53:57 41
13 San Diego FC 33 9 11 13 57:62 38
14 Austin FC 33 8 10 15 42:63 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 33 6 5 22 39:81 23
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 33 22 8 3 69:25 74
2 Inter Miami 33 16 11 6 77:56 59
3 New England Revolution 33 18 4 11 55:46 58
4 Chicago Fire 33 16 7 10 61:50 55
5 Charlotte FC 33 15 8 10 63:48 53
6 Philadelphia Union 33 13 8 12 62:51 47
7 FC Cincinnati 33 12 10 11 67:73 46
8 Columbus Crew 33 13 5 15 55:49 44
9 Orlando City 33 12 7 14 62:78 43
10 New York Red Bulls 33 11 6 16 45:62 39
11 New York City 33 9 12 12 48:45 39
12 Toronto FC 33 9 12 12 51:63 39
13 Atlanta United 33 9 6 18 43:57 33
14 DC United 33 7 12 14 39:60 33
15 CF Montreal 33 6 8 19 37:67 26
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)