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Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Columbus Crew Logo

Columbus Crew

0 - 1
FT
New York Red Bulls Logo

New York Red Bulls

Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Sub
Dos Santos M. In: Padelford D.
Out: Dos Santos M.
66'
Sub
Ruvalcaba J. In: Cowell C.
Out: Ruvalcaba J.
69'
Donkor R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York Red Bulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Columbus Crew
15%
Draws
37%
New York Red Bulls
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Columbus Crew carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Columbus Crew a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 20%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew New York Red Bulls
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.46 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
0:1
May 13, 2026 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Columbus Crew
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Columbus Crew Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

New York Red Bulls Compare

Top Goalscorer Donkor R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 58 / 100
New York Red Bulls 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew New York Red Bulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

New York Red Bulls let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Columbus Crew remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS New York Red Bulls
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
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New York Red Bulls

(Away)
30 Sept
New York Red Bulls
0 : 3
St. Louis City
18 Sept
New York City
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
12 Sept
Columbus Crew
0 : 1
New York Red Bulls
10 Sept
Los Angeles FC
2 : 0
New York Red Bulls
06 Sept
Seattle Sounders
0 : 0
New York Red Bulls
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
3 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
4 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
13 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)