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Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, Columbus, OH
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Columbus Crew host Toronto FC in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Columbus Crew have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Toronto FC's 1.48 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Columbus Crew slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.94 - 1.50) back Columbus Crew to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Columbus Crew
15%
Draws
21%
Toronto FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Columbus Crew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Columbus Crew carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Columbus Crew a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Columbus Crew Clean Sheet 16%
Toronto FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Columbus Crew Toronto FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 12
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 MLS
Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 MLS
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 MLS
Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 MLS
Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Columbus Crew 84 / 100
Toronto FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Columbus Crew Toronto FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Columbus Crew Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Toronto FC conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Columbus Crew went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Columbus Crew VS Toronto FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Columbus Crew

(Home)
14 Oct
Columbus Crew
3 : 1
Charlotte FC
10 Oct
Orlando City
3 : 2
Columbus Crew
27 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Inter Miami
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
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Toronto FC

(Away)
14 Oct
Toronto FC
3 : 3
Orlando City
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 29 15 7 7 61:30 52
2 St. Louis City 29 14 9 6 54:38 51
3 FC Dallas 29 14 8 7 53:45 50
4 San Jose Earthquakes 29 13 8 8 51:41 47
5 Houston Dynamo 29 13 7 9 39:37 46
6 Los Angeles FC 30 12 9 9 47:32 45
7 Seattle Sounders 29 11 8 10 38:36 41
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 30 10 9 11 41:50 39
9 Colorado Rapids 29 11 5 13 41:41 38
10 Portland Timbers 29 9 6 14 51:56 33
11 Real Salt Lake 29 9 6 14 42:47 33
12 San Diego FC 29 8 9 12 51:54 33
13 Minnesota United 29 7 10 12 44:53 31
14 Austin FC 29 7 10 12 37:54 31
15 Sporting Kansas City 29 6 4 19 35:72 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 29 20 6 3 63:22 66
2 Inter Miami 29 14 10 5 70:50 52
3 New England Revolution 29 15 4 10 48:41 49
4 Chicago Fire 29 14 6 9 52:43 48
5 Charlotte FC 29 13 7 9 51:43 46
6 Philadelphia Union 29 13 6 10 59:46 45
7 Orlando City 29 11 5 13 54:69 38
8 New York Red Bulls 29 10 6 13 39:54 36
9 FC Cincinnati 28 9 9 10 60:68 36
10 New York City 29 8 9 12 42:40 33
11 Toronto FC 29 7 12 10 44:55 33
12 DC United 28 7 12 9 36:47 33
13 Columbus Crew 29 9 5 15 44:47 32
14 Atlanta United 29 8 6 15 36:48 30
15 CF Montreal 29 6 6 17 35:59 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)