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Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn
Colwyn Bay Logo

Colwyn Bay

5 - 2
FT
Barry Town Logo

Barry Town

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Daley N.
36' Event
George M.
40' Event
Poole D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Colwyn Bay and Barry Town finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Colwyn Bay
15%
Draws
21%
Barry Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Colwyn Bay on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Colwyn Bay taking it.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 68%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay Barry Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town
5:2
Mar 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town
1:4
Aug 16, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Poole D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peate N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Daley N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader George M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 95 / 100
Barry Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay Barry Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Colwyn Bay scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Barry Town let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Colwyn Bay has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colwyn Bay VS Barry Town
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Colwyn Bay

(Home)
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1
Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

Barry Town

(Away)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)