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Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colwyn Bay host Cambrian United in the Cymru Premier. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Colwyn Bay at 1.48 goals for, 1.35 against; Cambrian United at 2 for, 1.52 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.81 - 1.56) back Cambrian United to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Colwyn Bay
15%
Draws
28%
Cambrian United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Colwyn Bay haven't matched Cambrian United's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Colwyn Bay taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 15%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay Cambrian United
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.48 2
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 84 / 100
Cambrian United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay Cambrian United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colwyn Bay found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Colwyn Bay has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cambrian United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cambrian United let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Colwyn Bay VS Cambrian United
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Colwyn Bay

(Home)
10 Oct
Flint Town
0 : 1
Colwyn Bay
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 7

Cambrian United

(Away)
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Colwyn Bay 13 8 1 4 22:15 25
6 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 13 2 2 9 12:25 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)